Molitico Research · Virginia · 6th District (proposed)
A wide-open race. Rasoul gains 12.3 points once voters learn about the candidates, closing the gap with Perriello, and 20% remain undecided.
The plurality of voters on the initial ballot are undecided. As voters learn more about Rasoul, he gains the most among the three candidates tested.
| Category | Initial Ballot | Post-Info Ballot |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Perriello | 34.4% | 37.4% |
| Sam Rasoul | 15.5% | 27.8% |
| Beth Macy | 12.6% | 12.9% |
| Undecided | 35.4% | 20.0% |
Nearly 60% of voters in the district are familiar with Rasoul and he has an impressive +47% net favorability.
Net Favorability: +47%
| Category | Response % |
|---|---|
| Very Favorable | 27.0% |
| Somewhat Favorable | 22.0% |
| Neutral | 10.0% |
| Somewhat Unfavorable | 1.0% |
| Very Unfavorable | 1.0% |
Nearly 50% of Democratic primary voters prefer a progressive candidate.
| Response | Percent |
|---|---|
| Progressive | 48.4% |
| Experienced Leader | 39.3% |
| Political Outsider | 12.3% |
Voters hold overwhelmingly positive views of prominent national progressives.
| Category | Total Favorable % |
|---|---|
| Elizabeth Warren | 84.1% |
| Bernie Sanders | 82.8% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 78.9% |
This poll was conducted from February 18–22, 2026, among 1,031 likely Democratic primary voters in Virginia's newly proposed 6th Congressional District. The margin of error is ±3%. Results were weighted to reflect the demographic composition of the VA-6 Democratic primary electorate.
| Demographic | Group | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Gender | Female | 60% |
| Gender | Male | 40% |
| Race / Ethnicity | White | 80% |
| Race / Ethnicity | Black | 8.5% |
| Race / Ethnicity | Hispanic | 2.5% |
| Race / Ethnicity | Asian | 2% |
| Race / Ethnicity | Other | 7% |
| Age | 18–19 | 0.7% |
| Age | 20–24 | 3.1% |
| Age | 25–29 | 3.9% |
| Age | 30–34 | 4.9% |
| Age | 35–39 | 5.9% |
| Age | 40–44 | 5.9% |
| Age | 45–49 | 5.4% |
| Age | 50–54 | 5.1% |
| Age | 55–64 | 14.6% |
| Age | 65+ | 50.7% |
Geographic weighting was applied based on county/city share of the VA-6 electorate, with Albemarle County (24.9%), Charlottesville City (15.4%), and Roanoke City (12.2%) representing the three largest jurisdictions.
Released by Molitico Research with the sponsor's permission. Reporters can cite these results with attribution to the sponsor and Molitico.
Illinois · 9th District
Daniel Biss leads with 31%, but 21% are undecided. Turnout among low-propensity voters will decide the race, and accountability and ICE oversight are what move them.
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