Molitico Research · Illinois · 9th District
Daniel Biss leads with 31%, but 21% are undecided. Turnout among low-propensity voters will decide the race, and accountability and ICE oversight are what move them.
Mayor Daniel Biss commands a substantial lead but a large proportion of primary voters remain undecided less than a month out from primary day.
| Category | Support % |
|---|---|
| Daniel Biss | 31.0% |
| Laura Fine | 13.9% |
| Kat Abughazaleh | 12.9% |
| Mike Simmons | 8.2% |
| Bushra Amiwala | 6.5% |
| Phil Andrew | 3.7% |
| Hoan Huynh | 1.6% |
| Jeff Cohen | 0.6% |
| Sam Polan | 0.1% |
| Undecided | 21.3% |
Most voters used both choices indicating high engagement. Top issues are centered on power and accountability.
| Category | Selected % |
|---|---|
| President has too much unchecked power | 50.5% |
| Billionaires/corps have too much power | 42.5% |
| ICE abusing power without accountability | 42.1% |
| Inflation and cost of living too high | 20.5% |
| Economy headed in wrong direction | 9.5% |
| Worried about job and future income | 8.8% |
| Healthcare unaffordable | 8.3% |
A clear majority say ties to AIPAC or the pro-Israel lobby make them less likely to support a candidate for Congress.
| Response | Percent |
|---|---|
| Less Likely | 59.3% |
| Neither | 30.2% |
| More Likely | 10.5% |
Voters show high engagement on human rights issues, with 41.4% strongly agreeing Israel is committing genocide.
| Category | Strongly Agree % |
|---|---|
| Israel is committing genocide | 41.4% |
| Israeli govt is extremist | 35.1% |
| Israel is an apartheid state | 31.5% |
| Sympathize more with Palestinians | 30.2% |
| Palestinian movement part of larger freedom movement | 20.9% |
| Israel is only Mideast democracy | 12.4% |
| Israel abiding by international law | 8.8% |
| Sympathize more with Israelis | 4.7% |
This poll was conducted from February 15–20, 2026, among 638 likely Democratic primary voters in Illinois' 9th Congressional District. The margin of error is ±3.9% at 95% confidence. Results were weighted by Age, Gender, Race, and Primary Turnout Score to reflect the IL-09 Democratic primary electorate.
| Demographic | Group | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Weighting Factors | Age | Weighted |
| Weighting Factors | Gender | Weighted |
| Weighting Factors | Race | Weighted |
| Weighting Factors | Primary Turnout Score | Weighted |
Sample modeled and weighted to the IL-09 Congressional District Democratic primary electorate. The election is scheduled for March 17th, 2026.
Released by Molitico Research with the sponsor's permission. Reporters can cite these results with attribution to the sponsor and Molitico.
Virginia · 6th District (proposed)
A wide-open race. Rasoul gains 12.3 points once voters learn about the candidates, closing the gap with Perriello, and 20% remain undecided.
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