Michigan Senate polling average

The average includes every public head-to-head poll of El-Sayed vs. Rogers we can verify, dated by the last day each poll was in the field. For each day, it uses polls that finished fielding in the previous 14 days, counting only each pollster's most recent poll. When fewer than three pollsters fall in that window, it uses the five most recent polls instead. Partisan-sponsored polls are included and marked D or R.

The average updates twice a day as new polls are released.

Disclosure: Molitico has worked with El-Sayed's campaign. This average includes every verifiable public poll and uses the published method below.